Imagine a surmise relationship between to items x and y
(ySx), where item y is prerquisite for item x.
The admissible solution patterns for the items are that both items
are solved correctly (1,1), neither of the items is solved
correctly (0,0), or only item y ist solved correctly (0,1).
In other words, x can only be solved in combination with
a correct solution to y, while y can also be solved
by itself. Therefore, we expect that the solution frequency for
item y is equal or higher than the solution frequency for
item x. In the Hasse diagram the relationship ySx
is presented by a line going down to the hypothesized prerequisite
(see Figure 4).
Figure 4: Surmise relationship between two items x
and y (ySx)